Bitcoin will see ‘long bear market’ says dealer with BTC worth caught at $19K

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Bitcoin (BTC) didn’t reclaim current losses into July 2 as merchants ready for stagnant worth motion to proceed.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

“Downtrend acceleration” nonetheless in pressure

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked a limp BTC/USD because it chopped across the $19,000 mark into the weekend.

The Wall Street buying and selling week had completed with out surprises, with United States equities virtually stagnant — offering little impetus for crypto volatility. The U.S. greenback index, or DXY, recent from a retest of twenty-year highs, ran out of steam to circle 105 factors.

U.S. greenback index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

Order e-book information from largest world alternate Binance confirmed BTC/USD caught between purchase and promote liquidity shut to identify worth, guaranteeing a scarcity of volatility till merchants maneuvered or added considerably to bids or asks.

BTC/USD order e-book information (Binance). Source: Material Indicators

Zooming out, the outlook hardly appeared any extra optimistic for bulls.

For widespread buying and selling account Altcoin Sherpa, present circumstances promised an prolonged interval of uninspiring efficiency from Bitcoin which might final a lot of 2022.

“Its gonna take months to chop around and accumulate once the bottom is found,” it instructed Twitter followers.

“And the bottom might not even come for another few months from today. Hunker down for a long bear market IMO.”

The sentiment was echoed by dealer and analyst Rekt Capital, who argued that Bitcoin had not but made new macro lows or began to consolidate.

#BTC should very nicely be within the “Downtrend Acceleration” part of its correction

But this part will precede the “Multi-Month Consolidation” part

Which will precede the “New Macro Uptrend” part$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) July 1, 2022

“Deleverage yourself. Get your Bitcoin into cold storage. Sit tight,” Checkmate, lead on-chain analyst at analysis agency Glassnode added.

Will quantity all-time highs echo 2018?

The subsequent week or two might show to be this cycle’s lows, in the meantime, lending a level of hope to these involved that the underside remains to be months away.

Related: Price evaluation 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, LEO, SHIB

In a Twitter thread on the day, economist, dealer and entrepreneur Alex Krueger famous that quantity denominated in BTC hit all-time highs final month.

“As a general rule, trading volume is the highest when markets capitulate,” he defined.

As a common rule, buying and selling quantity is the best when markets capitulate, and such capitulation creates main bottoms.

This weekly chart consists of the aggregated bitcoin quantity for many BTC pairs (spot & perpetuals throughout exchanges).

Volume hit its all time excessive two weeks in the past.

— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) July 2, 2022

In the 2018 bear market, he added, the amount all-time excessive in reality occurred a number of weeks earlier than the value backside, and may this time comply with the pattern, July could possibly be the positioning of the subsequent.

Previously, Rekt Capital had argued that buy-side quantity had not been robust sufficient to maintain recent worth upside in the long run, whereas additionally highlighting the 2018 quantity strikes.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially replicate the views of Every funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, you must conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.

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