EUR/USD Wraps up a Dismal January, Where to From Here?

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Euro, EUR/USD, IGCS – Technical Outlook

  • Euro wrapped up a disappointing January, will downtrend resume?
  • EUR/USD is eyeing a bullish Morning Star after a powerful Monday
  • 4-hour chart reveals costs are at a key near-term falling trendline

Euro Technical Analysis

Following aggressive losses for the reason that center of January, is the Euro preparing for a comeback towards the US Dollar? The pair’s decline took out a near-term rising trendline from the tip of November. Prices even closed beneath the June 19, 2020 low. However, follow-through was missing because the pair left behind a variety of assist. The latter seems to be a zone between 1.1122 and 1.1186.

Moreover, EUR/USD left behind a bullish Morning Star candlestick formation. Confirmation is missing at this level. An additional upside shut might open the door to extending beneficial properties. Keep in thoughts {that a} falling trendline from May appears to be sustaining the dominant draw back focus. Immediate resistance seems to be the 38.2% Fibonacci extension at 1.1290 adopted by the 1.1383 inflection level.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

Chart Created in TradingView

Zooming in on the 4-hour chart reveals that EUR/USD is dealing with a falling zone of resistance from the January peak. Recent beneficial properties adopted the emergence of a Bullish Engulfing candlestick sample. Piercing the trendline might open the door to extending beneficial properties within the close to time period. That would expose the 50-period Simple Moving Average for potential resistance above. Beyond the latter sits the previous rising trendline from November, which can reinstate itself as new resistance. Turning decrease opens the door for a retest of the January low at 1.1120.

4-Hour Chart

Euro Outlook: EUR/USD Wraps up a Dismal January, Where to From Here?

Chart Created in TradingView

Euro Sentiment – Mixed

According to knowledge from IG Client Sentiment (IGCS), about 65% of EUR/USD merchants are net-long. IGCS can at instances behave as a contrarian indicator. Since the vast majority of merchants are lengthy, this implies costs could proceed falling. However, upside publicity fell by 4.9% in comparison with yesterday and rose by about the identical from final week. The mixture of total and up to date shifts in positioning are providing a blended buying and selling bias.

Euro Outlook: EUR/USD Wraps up a Dismal January, Where to From Here?

IGCS knowledge used from January 31st report

— Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist for

To contact Daniel, use the feedback part beneath or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

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